Estimating the Carbon Footprint of Post-War Reconstruction: Toward a “Greener” Recovery of Ukraine
This study estimated the CO2 footprint of Ukraine’s reconstruction using an environmentally extended multi-region input-output (MRIO) analysis. The results revealed that the carbon footprint during a ten-year reconstruction phase is expected to be 4.3 times Ukraine’s annual territorial CO2 emissions before the war. More than half of these emissions are estimated to be generated by Ukraine’s construction industry, indicating an urgent need to reduce emissions through industry modernization and efficiency improvements. Additionally, approximately 13% of the indirect CO2 emissions are anticipated to come from the production of building materials such as concrete and steel. Therefore, effective efforts must be made to curb these emissions by maximizing the recycling of materials from debris.
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