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PoC for National Bank of Cambodia AI-based Liquidity Forecasting Solution

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カンボジア中央銀行におけるAIを活用した資金需要予測

概要

実施内容

This Request for Proposal (“RFP”) is part of a collaborative initiative between JICA DXLab and the National Bank of Cambodia (“NBC”) and aims to select a Digital Partner (“DP”) to develop an AI-based liquidity forecasting model Proof of Concept (“PoC)” solution. The AI-based liquidity forecasting solution will test and validate the effectiveness of different machine learning models to forecast liquidity. The DP will be responsible for development and testing of the AI-based liquidity forecasting solution.

The objective of the PoC is to validate that an AI-based solution can improve the accuracy of liquidity forecasting.

The DP is expected to provide a workplan in response to this RFP. However, an illustration of the implementation effort and the phases can be found below:

実施期間

The implementation is expected to span six months, beginning in September 2025 and concluding by February 2026. Applications are currently open, and the deadline for submission is 18:00 PM Japan Standard Time on 15th August 2025. The selected DP will be notified by 5th September 2025.

案件ステータス

Index

背景

NBC is the central bank of Cambodia. The mission of the NBC is to determine and direct the monetary policy aimed at maintaining price stability to facilitate economic development within the framework of the kingdom's economic and financial policy. As the monetary authority, the NBC is the sole issuer of the Cambodian Riel, the national currency. This helps maintain monetary stability. As the supervisory authority, the NBC has the authority to license, delicense, regulate, and supervise banks and financial institutions in Cambodia. The NBC also conducts regular economic and monetary analysis, publishes various publications, oversees the nation's payment systems, establishes balance of payments, and participates in the management of external debt claims.

Cambodia’s monetary landscape is shaped by a high degree of dollarization, with foreign currency deposits accounting for over 80% of total money supply. .Within this environment, the NBC maintains a managed float exchange rate regime for the Cambodian Riel against the US Dollar. These structural characteristics significantly limit the traditional levers of monetary policy (i.e., exchange rate and domestic interest rate adjustments).

Liquidity management is a routine function of the central bank aimed at achieving the intermediate targets of monetary policy. Accurate liquidity forecasting helps align liquidity conditions with these targets and minimizes volatility that could result from the central bank relying solely on ex-post reactions.

Improving the forecasting of local currency liquidity is therefore a critical step towards enabling more autonomous and responsive monetary policy. Enhancing NBC’s technical capabilities in liquidity forecasting will allow for better informed data-driven decision-making, and more effective policy communication. These improvements are also expected to support the development of a short-term Cambodian Riel-denominated money market and promote broader use of local currency.

This joint initiative between NBC and JICA DXLab aims to develop an AI-based liquidity forecasting model. This model will support NBC’s efforts to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of its liquidity projections, thus contributing to improved monetary policy operations and resilience of Cambodia’s financial system.

案件参加者

Project Owner

Dr. Khou Vouthy
Assistant Governor and Director General,
National Bank of Cambodia


Comment:
Dr. Khou joined the National Bank of Cambodia (NBC) since 2006. He was appointed as the Director General of Policy and International Cooperation in 2023 and Assistant Governor in 2024. Overseeing key areas of the central bank, namely: i) Macroeconomic surveillance ii) Financial stability risks monitoring iii) Formulation of Monetary policy and macroprudential policy iv) Financial, monetary, and external sector statistics and v) External and internal communication and relation. He is also involved in formulating various national economic and financial policies, particularly financial sector development strategy and economic development policies.

Dr. Khou earned his Ph.D. in Economics (Money, Finance, and International Economics) at the University Lumiere Lyon 2, France. He has conducted numerous research studies and surveys related to dollarization, financial sector and macroeconomics.

In this landmark project, NBC will work closely with the selected DP to support the development and testing of the world’s first AI-based liquidity forecasting solution in a central banking context. While the DP will lead the technical design and implementation of the PoC, NBC will provide ongoing input, feedback, and strategic guidance throughout the process to ensure the solution reflects central banking realities and national policy priorities. This collaboration aims to unlock new insights and capabilities that can strengthen NBC’s approach to liquidity forecasting.

NBC is excited to collaborate with JICA and the selected DP on this pioneering AI-driven PoC. By contributing domain expertise and participating in key points of engagement during the development journey, NBC aims to ensure that the solution delivers meaningful value for central bank operations. The institution looks forward to a productive partnership that enhances liquidity forecasting, supports more responsive monetary interventions, and ultimately contributes to a more robust Cambodian financial system and economy.

Yuhi Miyauchi

Sponsor

Hiroshi Kawabata
JICA Expert, Project for Enhancing Capacity of Economic Analysis, Research and Operations for Monetary Policy

In recent years, both the public and private sectors in Cambodia have been actively working to promote digital transformation, and JICA has been supporting its partners in adopting digital technologies to enhance their capabilities. NBC, one of JICA’s longstanding partners, has been implementing pioneering initiatives attracting international attention, such as the introduction of Bakong, a payment and banking system utilizing blockchain and distributed ledger technology.

JICA is currently supporting NBC through a technical cooperation project with the aim of promoting the use of the Cambodian Riel and improving the transparency of NBC's operations. One of the key components of this project is enhancing NBC’s capability for liquidity forecasting, a critical foundation for effective market operations. As NBC promotes use of the riel, these efforts are expected to strengthen the stability of both the currency and Cambodia’s financial markets.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is also supporting NBC in improving liquidity forecasting, and collaboration among NBC, JICA, IMF and the selected Digital Partner - each contributing their respective expertise - is highly anticipated for this PoC.

Comment:
In recent years, the use of AI technologies, including generative AI, has become increasingly accessible to many people, and central banks around the world are exploring ways to incorporate AI into their operations. This pilot project with NBC to apply AI - primarily machine learning - to liquidity forecasting is a pioneering initiative. We look forward to finding a Digital Partner to join us on this exciting journey, and hope that NBC’s experience will serve as a model case for other national banks in the ASEAN region and beyond.

Hiroshi Kawabata

PoCの実施要件

参加資格

Candidate DPs must fulfill all the following criteria to participate in the RFP (please refer to the RFP document for full details).

1. Japanese Company: The company must either be headquartered in Japan, including consolidated subsidiaries, or have a majority-Japanese management team.

2. Legal History: The company’s management must have no criminal record, and the company must not be included on any sanction list.

3. Financial and Organizational Stability: The company must have a stable revenue stream, with a minimum annual revenue of USD 1,000,000 in each of the last two fiscal years, and the company must have been in operation for at least five years.

4. Debarment: The company must not have been debarred/blacklisted by JICA in the past.

5. Data Security: The company must implement and maintain robust data security measures in alignment with industry standards to preserve data confidentiality throughout the PoC (e.g., access controls, device security measures).

Only proposals from qualified candidates will be considered. Proposals will be evaluated on technical and commercial criteria. The winning candidate will be selected based on combined technical and commercial evaluation scores. This structured approach ensures a transparent and merit-based selection of the most suitable bidder.

主な業務範囲

Please note that the Scope of Work may be negotiated after the award notice to accommodate the selected solution/proposal. The selected DP will be responsible for the development, testing, and validation of an AI-based liquidity forecasting solution following the scope of work (please refer to the RFP document for full details):

1. Target forecast variables: Daily projections for forecasting variables over a 7-day horizon

2. Data inputs: Expected that 5-10 years’ worth of sanitized data with multiple entries per day will be provisioned for model development and testing

3. Model universe: Three types of models will be required to be developed during PoC:
- a. Statistical time-series:
- b. Pure AI
- c. Hybrid models

4. Validation requirements
- a. Model cross-validation
- b. Forecast performance
- c. User/operational fit

5. Infrastructure: Hybrid cloud setup where NBC sanitized data is stored on NBC’s on-premises infrastructure and streamed to a cloud environment for computation

6. Development tools: Python is the prescribed development environment for the PoC and proprietary intellectual property and licensed tools that NBC cannot freely access should not be used

申し込み期限

Electronic submission must be received at JICADXLab@bcg.com by the latest 18:00 PM Japan Standard Time on 15th August 2025.

RFP

The RFP includes further information, such as the project background, location of work, and detailed Scope of Work.

予算上限

The maximum budget for the services is JPY 55,000,000 including all taxes and expenses. Proposals that exceed this budget ceiling will not be considered.

Info Session

An online information session was hosted for prospective bidders on 7th August 2025 in Japanese to offer clarifications on the RFP and address received inquiries.

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